The Mercosur deal, in conjunction with the French and German fake coalitions collapsing are a major threat. I'm surprised they haven't courted Starmer as Germany and France are on a collision course. Once that happens, it's game over for the EU.
A right wing coalition would be the outcome in France, literally all they have to do is say they won't accept the trade deal. Germany is a different story - economy been failing for years now. Huge energy costs and internal and external security threats. Add in failing motor industry and Germany is in trouble. Probably some kind of radical government incoming, maybe left wing which will be highly unusual for them.
All in all, as I say, the Mercosur Deal will be real trouble. The EU acting like a sovereign state, which they are not. To put it in a nutshell, Europe will import all the sh1tty "farm produce" (beef, poultry) from South America but get the right to sell (German) cars in South America tariff free. Ireland will be f***ed over by it but are too small to stop it. Plus the government are lackeys. However, clearly, the French will see that as f***ing over French farmers to bail out German car makers. We all know what the farmers will do. It won't be the farmer's party like in Holland. It will be more like bonfire night.
Look into the Mercosur Deal - it's a recipe for disaster.