You are starting to bore me.
You need to understand the difference between knowing something as a fact and knowing the likelihood of something.
Come back when you figure it out.
I see you still revert to your tactic of losing an argument and just resorting to personal insults. Plus ça change.
A fact is something that is known, without doubt. Something that is a likelihood, even a strong one, is not a fact, until it is known without doubt.
You are not dealing in any facts.