Stirlingsays
Member
- Country
- England
Lots of interesting points there.I suspect that Russia only have the upper hand because the West has only been playing at supporting Ukraine so far. It has been a slow them down and drain resources mission. Presumably the hope was that Putin would become frustrated and find a way to save face while withdrawing.
The question is whether America will allow Ukraine to fall. What would that mean in the longer term?
The concern is that if Putin persists, the West will bring much more hardware to the battlefield and make a much stronger stand.
We have already allowed Russia and China to gain strong influence in parts of Africa with plentiful natural resources. They are on the march. This game is not one we can lose.
Ukraine is a huge sunken cost problem now.....As someone who never supported the policies that brought us to this point and having predicted where we are now years ago on here, I can't say I'm for continuing the policy of hole digging.....but I have little doubt it'll be attempted for a bit longer yet. Hell, Trump isn't in office for another two and a half months.
Trump is much more of an American isolationist than the globalist world view but I can't say what view he'll come to....In a way his unpredictability will weigh in his favour but I guess only time will tell.
I tend towards the idea that he won't escalate....his base aren't interested in continuing what they see as a cold war and I suspect that Trump will see what deals can be made out there.