Gorton & Denton By-election

Back on topic?

Immigration, specifically the Muslim vote, is very much on topic.

You really think that Labour could have won with a different candidate? Who? Someone called Muhammed perhaps?
Or e.g. "Burnham"?

No idea. But (perhaps not representative) there have been folk interviewed who say they would have voted Burnham had he been the candidate.

There were also those who said they are wholly pro Reform, but then admitted they did not vote.

Reform tried bussing in folk from the council estates, but clearly more is required to turn political allegiance into actual vote. The issue Reform may have is that many who tick box Reform in any poll are also part of the self-disenfranchised majority who can't be bothered to turn up.
 
Or e.g. "Burnham"?

No idea. But (perhaps not representative) there have been folk interviewed who say they would have voted Burnham had he been the candidate.

There were also those who said they are wholly pro Reform, but then admitted they did not vote.

Reform tried bussing in folk from the council estates, but clearly more is required to turn political allegiance into actual vote. The issue Reform may have is that many who tick box Reform in any poll are also part of the self-disenfranchised majority who can't be bothered to turn up.
Well they better had when it counts or their grandkids will be speaking Urdu.
 
Or e.g. "Burnham"?

No idea. But (perhaps not representative) there have been folk interviewed who say they would have voted Burnham had he been the candidate.

There were also those who said they are wholly pro Reform, but then admitted they did not vote.

Reform tried bussing in folk from the council estates, but clearly more is required to turn political allegiance into actual vote. The issue Reform may have is that many who tick box Reform in any poll are also part of the self-disenfranchised majority who can't be bothered to turn up.
Reminds me of the Obama years where ‘poor blacks’ were bussed to the poll stations to vote. Some had his name written on their arms so that they could match the name with the ballot paper.
 
Total deflection away from the total embarrassment and humiliation suffered by Labour and Starmer.
Labour won the seat at the General Election and their vote was halved yesterday, so I will take no lectures from those commenting on the Conservative % of the vote.
We both know the left wing voters went for Reform in order to block the Reform candidate when the General Election takes place those votes will return alongside a Labour M.P. I'm more worried about the Tory status as an endangered species, Chris Packham might want to launch an appeal.
 
We both know the left wing voters went for Reform in order to block the Reform candidate when the General Election takes place those votes will return alongside a Labour M.P. I'm more worried about the Tory status as an endangered species, Chris Packham might want to launch an appeal.
Straight out of the Farage 'Playbook'.
We accept that we have challenges but we are resolute in our determination to rebuild our great party after losing the trust of the electorate.We have never believed that trust could be regained in a short period of time.
 
Straight out of the Farage 'Playbook'.
We accept that we have challenges but we are resolute in our determination to rebuild our great party after losing the trust of the electorate.We have never believed that trust could be regained in a short period of time.

At a certain point you have to start accepting the blame for sticking by a party that has enacted such betrayal on this country.

Voting for the party that puts the wolves at the gate should come with blame.
 
Republicans do the same with the "poor white trash" and Heartland country folk.

Poor white trash are statistically still better for an area than other trash.

No one wants to live in countries that weren't built by Europeans or East Asians.

There is a reason you are here and not in Pakistan/India or elsewhere.

Even though I'd argue that the Indian intelligentsia are alright and mostly anglophiles.....it's the other 90 percent.
 
Or e.g. "Burnham"?

No idea. But (perhaps not representative) there have been folk interviewed who say they would have voted Burnham had he been the candidate.

There were also those who said they are wholly pro Reform, but then admitted they did not vote.

Reform tried bussing in folk from the council estates, but clearly more is required to turn political allegiance into actual vote. The issue Reform may have is that many who tick box Reform in any poll are also part of the self-disenfranchised majority who can't be bothered to turn up.

Where did you hear this from?

I want to check it out.
 
Of course, but a reducing impact. And no more than scouse families or Gloucestershire farmers voting in anyone wearing red or blue rosettes, as appropriate.

Still stupid for sure, but not the same thing as has been suggested here.

No one should be entering a voting booth with someone else.

I have met Muslims and those of Nigerian extraction who are more alarmed by migration than (possibly even?) Hrolf. There is no-one more hard anti immigrant than those last over the drawbridge. Brexit and Reform all the way for those guys.

Sure, like I said previously there will be sensible people from every community but both you and I know that it's going to be under 10 percent.

If those people have sense they will join Reform or Restore.....Well, maybe after they have checked out Restore's manifesto.
 
At a certain point you have to start accepting the blame for sticking by a party that has enacted such betrayal on this country.

Voting for the party that puts the wolves at the gate should come with blame.
I fully accept we made mistakes and lost the trust of the electorate but I am NOT blameworthy for taking an active part in the rebuild.Kemi Badenoch yesterday made the case for renewed optimism and this was echoed by the Head of CCHQ, Mark McInnes.
I am looking forward to our Spring Conference in Harrogate next week and I shall be in attendance.
 
Straight out of the Farage 'Playbook'.
We accept that we have challenges but we are resolute in our determination to rebuild our great party after losing the trust of the electorate.We have never believed that trust could be regained in a short period of time.
So imagined as a graph the Tory fortunes are still heading in a decidedly southern direction.
 
I fully accept we made mistakes and lost the trust of the electorate but I am NOT blameworthy for taking an active part in the rebuild.Kemi Badenoch yesterday made the case for renewed optimism and this was echoed by the Head of CCHQ, Mark McInnes.
I am looking forward to our Spring Conference in Harrogate next week and I shall be in attendance.

I accept that you are to the right of the party.

But I find everything else baffling.

Like sticking by a wife that's poisoning you.

Most of the right wingers are moving over to Farage or Lowe.....what's the point of being in the Heseltine party?
 
So imagined as a graph the Tory fortunes are still heading in a decidedly southern direction.
We continue to rebuild our party with vim, vigour and determination.
The mood was distinctly upbeat in Buckinghamshire yesterday at an 'Away Day' for Conservative MPs, Shadow Cabinet ministers etc etc, with guest speaker Nick Ferrari.
Apropos 'Southern Direction' look no further than Starmer and Labour.
 
I accept that you are to the right of the party.

But I find everything else baffling.

Like sticking by a wife that's poisoning you.

Most of the right wingers are moving over to Farage or Lowe.....what's the point of being in the Heseltine party?
With respect I do not recognise your 'Caricature' of the current Conservative Party.

In any event this discussion pertains to the 'Gorton and Denton' by-election where Labour suffered a drubbing and some of the wind was taken out of Farage's sails by the result.

Nothing more to contribute on this debate.I shall now concentrate my efforts on the Football discussions.
 
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Poor white trash are statistically still better for an area than other trash.

No one wants to live in countries that weren't built by Europeans or East Asians.

There is a reason you are here and not in Pakistan/India or elsewhere.

Even though I'd argue that the Indian intelligentsia are alright and mostly anglophiles.....it's the other 90 percent.
“Statistically”? Why? Where is the evidence?

If by “white trash” you mean people whose forefathers have lived here for generations, without the family achieving upward mobility, I think the evidence is clearly the reverse.

With no history of success and no one pushing you the chances of you discovering the motivation seem slim. New arrivals don’t carry that baggage. They are already part of a group determined to better themselves.
 
“Statistically”? Why? Where is the evidence?

Per Capita Homicide Rates (2019 Data, Age-Adjusted per 100,000)Homicide is a subset of violent crime with stronger disparities (from CDC/Global Burden of Disease study; no direct poverty breakdown, but correlates with underclass areas):
  • Black: ~20–25 overall, but 74.6 (males 15–24) and 70.0 (males 25–44).
  • Hispanic: ~6–7.
  • White: ~2–3.
  • Asian: ~1–2 (lowest).
  • American Indian/Alaska Native: ~10–12 (higher than Whites/Hispanics).
 
I've lived in poor highly diverse areas, and I've lived in poor very white homogeneous areas.

Anyone who tries to tell you that there is no difference is a liar and if you want to know what's good for you....don't listen to them.
 
“Statistically”? Why? Where is the evidence?

If by “white trash” you mean people whose forefathers have lived here for generations, without the family achieving upward mobility, I think the evidence is clearly the reverse.

With no history of success and no one pushing you the chances of you discovering the motivation seem slim. New arrivals don’t carry that baggage. They are already part of a group determined to better themselves.
Q.E.D. Obvious to most folk. 👍
 

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