Spindle
Member
- Country
England
Ok, I can see that reasoning....I don't think this is the best way forward....but I see the reasoning.
However, Russia already have the bomb and yet you are fully fine with escalation in the Ukraine war presumably based upon the reasoning that they would never use it down to MAD and mutual destruction. But here you are arguing that Israel must go to war to stop Iran getting a nuke....because of the risk of MAD?
You think Russia wouldn't use a nuke but Iran will?
Iran doesn't even need to enrich to get nukes....the stupidity of starting a cold war against China/Russia means that there are thousands of them available anytime they want to supply. The major difficulty would be in the launch systems, but that tech could be supplied too.
At the moment....like us.....they don't have anything like the missile defence systems to combat what is being sent their way. But if the regime survives this how long do you think that'll last considering we now have a cold war?
From the west's perspective this isn't bright.....though I can see from the Israeli neo con viewpoint it's a last throw of the dice.
I think that it depends on what Saudi and Qatar think. Publicly SA will condemn, but they've been fighting Iran for a decade already. And Qatar will publicly decry, but privately won't be interested in tainting the relationships they've built up.
Egypt, Iraq and Jordan nothing, Turkey nope, Lebanon already involved and Syria not capable nor interested.
Also I don't think Russia or China would just hand over nukes to Iran simply because they're mates.