May 1st elections

[beak]

After last year’s catastrophic defeat, and with protest votes cutting across every ballot box, we knew Thursday would be very difficult for our party. Even in better times, defending the strong 2021 result would have been a challenging task.

The trust in the Conservative Party has been seriously eroded and it will take time for it to be restored.
Whether Kemi Badenoch is the person who will restore that trust is a matter for debate.

Labour can say that it is a protest against the incumbent government which is perpetual and valid,the tories cannot hide behind being in government what is their excuse?

 

[Matov]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1918938316738572633

Canada. Really? These people are beyond delusional.

 

[ASCPFC]

Labour can say that it is a protest against the incumbent government which is perpetual and valid,the tories cannot hide behind being in government what is their excuse?

I suppose Tories were hardly that long ago. I think many may still be protesting. I guess give it until mid-term of this government.

 

[HKOwen]

'The most ungracious divisive clunky acceptance speech in memory' - re: Andrea Jenkyns

She doesn't represent 70% of the Lincolnshire population, or nearly 60% of the 30% that did vote. She does represent a specific type of person though and that's a damning indictment on Lincolnshire sadly.

Copy of an electors disappointment I think a majority would agree with.

But not enough of them voted against her.

Brexit means brexit

They had the choice.

👎

What a bunch of limp word salad, Labour were hammered

 

[Matov]

Labour can say that it is a protest against the incumbent government which is perpetual and valid,the tories cannot hide behind being in government what is their excuse?

I get where you are coming from on this but there definitely seems to be a sense amongst the conventional political class that this election went far beyond the norm.

Oddly enough, it is not Runcorn, in and of itself. A classic by-election upset. With the smallest of fractions of a win.

But rather these results have them worried about what happens in the future...

1. 2025 Greater Lincolnshire mayoral election - Angela Jenkyns - Her vote was bigger than the combined Labour and Conservative votes.

2. Durham. Labour lose 36 seats. Tories lose 15. Reform win 65. From a standing start.

3. West Country Mayoral contest. Arron Banks making it much closer than anybody had predicted. And exposing the Green/Labour split.

This last one in particular has caused some head scratching. Now of course, many on the Left would clambour for a Labour/Green tie up but given the noises being made about Net-Zero being given the old heave-ho, then almost certainly a non-starter.

Still trying to find an analysis of the impact of the postal-vote because Labour have an impressive machine for harvesting those with the Tories not shabby either so even with that, they still get their joint arses handed to them.

Of the two major parties I would be more worried if I were the Tories for a whole raft of reasons. Labour still have well over 3 years to salvage this. But the Tories are literally on their knees after what happened to them in the 2024 GE. And Kemi definitely ain't got what it takes. Plus they have not got the Farage glove-puppet to berate their supporters with where as Labour can literally get away with anything and still have the usual soc.lib suspects turn out for them because of the viseral hatred they have for Farage.

 

[HKOwen]

I get where you are coming from on this but there definitely seems to be a sense amongst the conventional political class that this election went far beyond the norm.

Oddly enough, it is not Runcorn, in and of itself. A classic by-election upset. With the smallest of fractions of a win.

But rather these results have them worried about what happens in the future...

1. 2025 Greater Lincolnshire mayoral election - Angela Jenkyns - Her vote was bigger than the combined Labour and Conservative votes.

2. Durham. Labour lose 36 seats. Tories lose 15. Reform win 65. From a standing start.

3. West Country Mayoral contest. Arron Banks making it much closer than anybody had predicted. And exposing the Green/Labour split.

This last one in particular has caused some head scratching. Now of course, many on the Left would clambour for a Labour/Green tie up but given the noises being made about Net-Zero being given the old heave-ho, then almost certainly a non-starter.

Still trying to find an analysis of the impact of the postal-vote because Labour have an impressive machine for harvesting those with the Tories not shabby either so even with that, they still get their joint arses handed to them.

Of the two major parties I would be more worried if I were the Tories for a whole raft of reasons. Labour still have well over 3 years to salvage this. But the Tories are literally on their knees after what happened to them in the 2024 GE. And Kemi definitely ain't got what it takes. Plus they have not got the Farage glove-puppet to berate their supporters with where as Labour can literally get away with anything and still have the usual soc.lib suspects turn out for them because of the viseral hatred they have for Farage.

Agree with that but I think Runcorn more significant given the increase in the Reform vote