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May 1st elections

H

HKOwen

Member
Location
Hong Kong
Country
Hong Kong
In Runcorn Reform 2/7 in betting markets, lets see. Labour defending 52% vote share and 15,000 majority which is a lot to over turn.

My sense is Labour will be vastly down , Greens may get a boost from ex Labour who won't vote Reform.

Reform win by small majority

Local elections, the results will exclude those millions not allowed to vote by Labour in Kent, Essex, Suffolk etc etc .

Much more interested in how Greens and sectarian Independents do as a pointer to the future.
 
HKOwen said:
In Runcorn Reform 2/7 in betting markets, lets see. Labour defending 52% vote share and 15,000 majority which is a lot to over turn.

My sense is Labour will be vastly down , Greens may get a boost from ex Labour who won't vote Reform.

Reform win by small majority

Local elections, the results will exclude those millions not allowed to vote by Labour in Kent, Essex, Suffolk etc etc .

Much more interested in how Greens and sectarian Independents do as a pointer to the future.
Click to expand...
Greens do well as a protest vote outside of a General Election where they always seem to get about 7% of the vote.
 
HKOwen said:
In Runcorn Reform 2/7 in betting markets, lets see. Labour defending 52% vote share and 15,000 majority which is a lot to over turn.

My sense is Labour will be vastly down , Greens may get a boost from ex Labour who won't vote Reform.

Reform win by small majority

Local elections, the results will exclude those millions not allowed to vote by Labour in Kent, Essex, Suffolk etc etc .

Much more interested in how Greens and sectarian Independents do as a pointer to the future.
Click to expand...
You didn't mention the bun fight between the two right wing parties,reform second and the tories fourth methinks.
 
Search parties are still out looking for the dead body of the Tory party trounced everywhere by Reform,Fourth behind the Greens in the West Country mayoral race.
 
Willo said:
Last month we launched a 'Policy Renewal' programme.
The Conservative Party is taking the first step in the UK’s biggest policy renewal programme in 50 years.
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Revision rather than renewal I would suggest, Boris' crazy green agenda laid damaging foundations and cost people real money. Let's see what comes out of the review, I foresee a lot of current MP's in seats with small majorities going to Reform if they'll have them.

Reform have to demonstrate and persuade they are more than Farage.

Nigel Huddlestone gave a terrible ill conceived interview this morning, he tried the "Farage is a fan of Putin " nonsense, sounded like a Dem attacking Trump, really quite pathetic
 
beak said:
You would need Donald Campbell in order to show a clean pair of heels, the tories have been pronounced dead by the electorate.
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The electorate made it abundantly clear that the Conservative Party needed some time away from government. Our job right now is to use that time wisely.
Our Party cannot 'shortcut' our way back into office with easy answers or rushed announcements, we have to develop credible plans that are based on shared Conservative values.
 
Willo said:
The electorate made it abundantly clear that the Conservative Party needed some time away from government. Our job right now is to use that time wisely.
Our Party cannot 'shortcut' our way back into office with easy answers or rushed announcements, we have to develop credible plans that are based on shared Conservative values.
Click to expand...
As euphemisms go that is great. Basically the Tories stunk the place out and are now cancelled,being replaced by Reform.
 
beak said:
As euphemisms go that is great. Basically the Tories stunk the place out and are now cancelled,being replaced by Reform.
Click to expand...
Reform's plan is to ride the protest wave, faced with two unpopular mainstream parties but offer nothing constructive.
Our nation does not need a protest, it need a plan and Reform has not presented anything near one.
 
Willo said:
Reform's plan is to ride the protest wave, faced with two unpopular mainstream parties but offer nothing constructive.
Our nation does not need a protest, it need a plan and Reform has not presented anything near one.
Click to expand...
No party will produce manifesto policies this far from an election
 
Willo said:
Reform's plan is to ride the protest wave, faced with two unpopular mainstream parties but offer nothing constructive.
Our nation does not need a protest, it need a plan and Reform has not presented anything near one.
Click to expand...
Do i take it your not a communist 🤣
 
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