39 Points , we are Staying UP , time to Prep for August in the Prem.

Form suggests the battle for 18th spot will be between Spurs and Forest, who currently occupy the bottom two spots in the form table (last 6 games), with West Ham in 8th. We're currently in joint 5th spot in the form table, which doesn't feel real given how flat our performances have been.

Points per game (last 6 games):
Palace - 1.67
West Ham - 1.5
Leeds - 1.0
Forest - 0.5
Spurs - 0.17

Next Sunday's game between Spurs and Forest is likely to be hugely significant given how hard both teams are finding it to get points.

Based on how bad we've been in games following a European fixture, it makes you wonder whether potentially winning the Conference League is a blessing or a curse. I mean, obviously, I'd love us to get another trophy, but I doubt the club has the resources left to make the squad ready for another European campaign.
0-0 draw
 
For all the pant and bed wetters on here who are not yet convinced that we will be staying up, Wolves now have just 7 games left (max 21 pts = max 38 in total). 1 down 2 to go, Burnley will soon join them regarding not being able to catch us, and one out of Leeds, Spurs, Forest and W Ham will be the last to fall short of our total.

As for only the top 3 being safe - it's a load of rubbish, Teams have to play each other. If you want to work it out mathematically you have to look at all the remaining fixtures and work out who can get what bearing in mind that teams will drop 3 or 2 points in every game not won. I'm certainly not going to try and work that out.
 
Tottenham will be buoyed by their result and improved performance at Liverpool, who were strongly fancied to emerge victorious.
I suspect Nottm Forest might be a tad deflated given their last 2 matches were at home, they lost 1 and drew 1 and never scored a goal in either game.

I have a moderate sum on Forest to win at Spurs for the very reasons you outline above.

It has a Forest performance written all over it.
 
it really would be fascinating to see spurs relegated... how they handle it, if they get back up, if refs give them the benefit of doubt, one season out the prem wouldn't spell disaster, but if they don't back up straight away they are doomed.
 
it really would be fascinating to see spurs relegated... how they handle it, if they get back up, if refs give them the benefit of doubt, one season out the prem wouldn't spell disaster, but if they don't back up straight away they are doomed.
Tottenham were relegated from the old 'Division 1' in season 1976-77 but were promoted back to the top flight the following campaign.
 
For all the pant and bed wetters on here who are not yet convinced that we will be staying up, Wolves now have just 7 games left (max 21 pts = max 38 in total). 1 down 2 to go, Burnley will soon join them regarding not being able to catch us, and one out of Leeds, Spurs, Forest and W Ham will be the last to fall short of our total.

As for only the top 3 being safe - it's a load of rubbish, Teams have to play each other. If you want to work it out mathematically you have to look at all the remaining fixtures and work out who can get what bearing in mind that teams will drop 3 or 2 points in every game not won. I'm certainly not going to try and work that out.

this was before the weekend and is clearly only a prediction of results - it does have Spurs going down. However, both they and West Ham got excellent draws this weekend when predicted to lose.

I would say we need 42 points to be 99.9% confident of saying up - i still remember Oldham!

As there is also £3m per position and the middle positions are very tight a few wins should move us up a few places, assuming OG is bothered.
 

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