Becoming increasingly convinced we are going to see an early election. The economic situation is worsening and it increasingly looks like Labour will need to both increase taxes across the board and cut welfare benefits, allied with an increase in defence spending. None of which bodes well for Labour.
Currently still managing to hold on to a lead in the polls, getting votes back from the Greens and with Reform having a bad run, along with the Tories managing to peg them back as well.
Willing to put my head on the chopping block here and state that if they do go, they will effectively announce the intention of doing so during their conference, with a pledge of an effective rejoin policy with the EU, and a potential link up, or at least an agreement to effectively support tactical voting on the back of it. Plus will take a lot of sting out of the Green vote as well.